Match Analysis

MirassolvsAthletico-PR

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

40%
24%
36%
Mirassol winDrawAthletico-PR win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.60
1.21Avg goals scored1.84
1.18Avg goals conceded1.56
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Mirassol xG

Expected goals

1.5

Athletico-PR xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

0–1

7%

1–0

7%

2–0

6%

Home

Mirassol

Mirassol

DWLDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.2

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Athletico-PR

Athletico-PR

DLWDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Mirassol vs Athletico-PR?

Mirassol is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Mirassol's current form?

Mirassol have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 15 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Mirassol Win40%
Draw24%
Athletico-PR Win36%
BTTS62%
Over 2.560%