Match Analysis

MirassolvsAtlético-MG

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

37%
26%
37%
Mirassol winDrawAtlético-MG win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game2.00
1.22Avg goals scored1.58
1.18Avg goals conceded1.17
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Mirassol xG

Expected goals

1.4

Atlético-MG xG

57%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

9%

1–0

9%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

0–0

6%

Home

Mirassol

Mirassol

DWLDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.2

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Atlético-MG

Atlético-MG

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.2

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Mirassol vs Atlético-MG?

This is an evenly matched fixture. Both teams have similar win probabilities based on current form.

What is Mirassol's current form?

Mirassol have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 15 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Mirassol Win37%
Draw26%
Atlético-MG Win37%
BTTS57%
Over 2.553%