Match Analysis

PalmeirasvsCorinthians

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

75%
16%
9%
Palmeiras winDrawCorinthians win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game0.40
1.86Avg goals scored1.15
0.45Avg goals conceded2.02
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.5

Palmeiras xG

Expected goals

0.8

Corinthians xG

51%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

12%

3–0

10%

1–0

9%

2–1

9%

3–1

8%

1–1

7%

Home

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.9 / 0.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Corinthians

Corinthians

DDLLL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.2 / 2.0

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Palmeiras vs Corinthians?

Palmeiras is favored with a 75% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Palmeiras's current form?

Palmeiras have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 14 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Palmeiras Win75%
Draw16%
Corinthians Win9%
BTTS51%
Over 2.564%