Match Analysis

PalmeirasvsCoritiba

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

76%
16%
8%
Palmeiras winDrawCoritiba win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game0.40
1.86Avg goals scored0.82
0.45Avg goals conceded1.93
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.4

Palmeiras xG

Expected goals

0.6

Coritiba xG

41%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

14%

1–0

12%

3–0

11%

2–1

9%

1–1

7%

3–1

7%

Home

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.9 / 0.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Coritiba

Coritiba

DLDLL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.9

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Palmeiras vs Coritiba?

Palmeiras is favored with a 76% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Palmeiras's current form?

Palmeiras have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 41%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 14 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Palmeiras Win76%
Draw16%
Coritiba Win8%
BTTS41%
Over 2.558%