Match Analysis

PalmeirasvsFlamengo

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

44%
26%
30%
Palmeiras winDrawFlamengo win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.80
1.86Avg goals scored2.22
0.45Avg goals conceded0.82
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)2–3–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Palmeiras xG

Expected goals

1.1

Flamengo xG

52%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

1–0

11%

2–1

9%

0–1

8%

2–0

8%

0–0

7%

Home

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.9 / 0.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Flamengo

Flamengo

DDWDW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.2 / 0.8

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Palmeiras vs Flamengo?

Palmeiras is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Palmeiras's current form?

Palmeiras have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 15 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Palmeiras Win44%
Draw26%
Flamengo Win30%
BTTS52%
Over 2.548%