Match Analysis

Red Bull BragantinovsVasco da Gama

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

38%
26%
36%
Red Bull Bragantino winDrawVasco da Gama win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.00
1.33Avg goals scored1.45
1.27Avg goals conceded1.12
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Red Bull Bragantino xG

Expected goals

1.4

Vasco da Gama xG

57%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

9%

1–0

9%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

0–0

6%

Home

Red Bull Bragantino

Red Bull Bragantino

DLDWD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.1

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Red Bull Bragantino vs Vasco da Gama?

Red Bull Bragantino is favored with a 38% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Red Bull Bragantino's current form?

Red Bull Bragantino have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 15 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Red Bull Bragantino Win38%
Draw26%
Vasco da Gama Win36%
BTTS57%
Over 2.553%