Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.9
Santos xG
Expected goals
1
Botafogo xG
54%
Both Teams to Score
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
10%
1–1
10%
2–0
10%
2–1
10%
0–0
6%
0–1
6%
Home
Santos
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.3
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Botafogo
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
0.8 / 1.5
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Santos vs Botafogo?
Santos is favored with a 58% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Santos's current form?
Santos have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 15 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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