Match Analysis

SantosvsFlamengo

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

29%
23%
48%
Santos winDrawFlamengo win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.80
1.66Avg goals scored2.22
1.27Avg goals conceded0.82
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–3–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Santos xG

Expected goals

1.8

Flamengo xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

9%

0–1

7%

0–2

7%

2–1

7%

1–0

6%

Home

Santos

Santos

DWLDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Flamengo

Flamengo

DDWDW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.2 / 0.8

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Santos vs Flamengo?

Flamengo is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Santos's current form?

Santos have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 15 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Santos Win29%
Draw23%
Flamengo Win48%
BTTS63%
Over 2.562%