Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.9
Santos xG
Expected goals
1.2
Grêmio xG
59%
Both Teams to Score
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
10%
2–1
10%
1–0
9%
2–0
8%
1–2
6%
2–2
6%
Home
Santos
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.3
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Grêmio
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.1 / 1.5
Last 5
0W 4D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Santos vs Grêmio?
Santos is favored with a 54% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Santos's current form?
Santos have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 14 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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