Match Analysis

SantosvsPalmeiras

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

26%
25%
49%
Santos winDrawPalmeiras win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game2.00
1.66Avg goals scored1.86
1.27Avg goals conceded0.45
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Santos xG

Expected goals

1.6

Palmeiras xG

53%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

11%

0–2

9%

1–2

9%

0–0

7%

1–0

7%

Home

Santos

Santos

DWLDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.9 / 0.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Santos vs Palmeiras?

Palmeiras is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Santos's current form?

Santos have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 14 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Santos Win26%
Draw25%
Palmeiras Win49%
BTTS53%
Over 2.551%