São Paulovs
Corinthians
BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.8
São Paulo xG
Expected goals
1.2
Corinthians xG
58%
Both Teams to Score
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
11%
2–1
10%
1–0
9%
2–0
8%
0–1
6%
1–2
6%
Home
São Paulo
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.1 / 1.3
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Corinthians
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
1.2 / 2.0
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win São Paulo vs Corinthians?
São Paulo is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is São Paulo's current form?
São Paulo have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 15 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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