São Paulovs
Fluminense
BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.3
São Paulo xG
Expected goals
1.3
Fluminense xG
53%
Both Teams to Score
48%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
13%
0–1
10%
1–0
10%
1–2
8%
2–1
8%
0–0
7%
Home
São Paulo
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.1
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Fluminense
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.6 / 1.4
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win São Paulo vs Fluminense?
This is an evenly matched fixture. Both teams have similar win probabilities based on current form.
What is São Paulo's current form?
São Paulo have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 14 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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