Vasco da Gamavs
Corinthians
BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.1
Vasco da Gama xG
Expected goals
1.1
Corinthians xG
59%
Both Teams to Score
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
10%
1–0
9%
1–1
9%
2–0
9%
3–1
7%
3–0
6%
Home
Vasco da Gama
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.5 / 1.1
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Corinthians
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
1.2 / 2.0
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians?
Vasco da Gama is favored with a 60% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Vasco da Gama's current form?
Vasco da Gama have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 14 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Brazilian Série A