Match Analysis

Vasco da GamavsCorinthians

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

60%
21%
19%
Vasco da Gama winDrawCorinthians win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game0.40
1.45Avg goals scored1.15
1.12Avg goals conceded2.02
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Vasco da Gama xG

Expected goals

1.1

Corinthians xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

10%

1–0

9%

1–1

9%

2–0

9%

3–1

7%

3–0

6%

Home

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.1

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Corinthians

Corinthians

DDLLL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.2 / 2.0

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians?

Vasco da Gama is favored with a 60% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Vasco da Gama's current form?

Vasco da Gama have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 14 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Vasco da Gama Win60%
Draw21%
Corinthians Win19%
BTTS59%
Over 2.562%