Match Analysis

VitóriavsAthletico-PR

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

37%
23%
40%
Vitória winDrawAthletico-PR win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.60
1.20Avg goals scored1.84
1.34Avg goals conceded1.56
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Vitória xG

Expected goals

1.6

Athletico-PR xG

64%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

0–1

7%

1–0

7%

2–2

7%

Home

Vitória

Vitória

DDLWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Athletico-PR

Athletico-PR

DLWDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Vitória vs Athletico-PR?

Athletico-PR is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Vitória's current form?

Vitória have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 15 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Vitória Win37%
Draw23%
Athletico-PR Win40%
BTTS64%
Over 2.562%