Vitóriavs
Fluminense
BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.4
Vitória xG
Expected goals
1.5
Fluminense xG
59%
Both Teams to Score
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
12%
1–2
9%
0–1
8%
1–0
8%
2–1
8%
0–0
6%
Home
Vitória
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.3
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Fluminense
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.3
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Vitória vs Fluminense?
Fluminense is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Vitória's current form?
Vitória have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 15 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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