Match Analysis

1. FC Union BerlinvsRB Leipzig

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

24%
19%
57%
1. FC Union Berlin winDrawRB Leipzig win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.40
0.76Avg goals scored3.00
2.03Avg goals conceded1.70
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

1. FC Union Berlin xG

Expected goals

2.4

RB Leipzig xG

71%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

9%

1–1

7%

1–3

7%

2–2

7%

0–2

6%

0–1

5%

Home

1. FC Union Berlin

1. FC Union Berlin

DDDWL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.8 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

DWLLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

3.0 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win 1. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig?

RB Leipzig is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is 1. FC Union Berlin's current form?

1. FC Union Berlin have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 7 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

1. FC Union Berlin Win24%
Draw19%
RB Leipzig Win57%
BTTS71%
Over 2.575%