Match Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen vs Sc Freiburg

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

32%
20%
48%
Bayer Leverkusen winDrawSC Freiburg win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game2.40
1.96Avg goals scored2.44
2.58Avg goals conceded1.67
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Bayer Leverkusen xG

Expected goals

3.4

SC Freiburg xG

84%

Both Teams to Score

91%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

13

6%

23

6%

12

5%

14

5%

22

5%

24

5%

Home

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

LWDLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.0 / 2.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

WWWLW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

2.4 / 1.7

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Bayer Leverkusenall timeSc Freiburg
4W
2D
7 Mar 26
SC Freiburg33Bayer Leverkusen
26 Oct 25
Bayer Leverkusen20SC Freiburg
4 May 25
SC Freiburg22Bayer Leverkusen
21 Dec 24
Bayer Leverkusen51SC Freiburg
17 Mar 24
SC Freiburg23Bayer Leverkusen
29 Oct 23
Bayer Leverkusen21SC Freiburg

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Bayer Leverkusen vs Sc Freiburg?

SC Freiburg is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Bayer Leverkusen's current form?

Bayer Leverkusen have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Bundesliga meetings, Bayer Leverkusen won 4, drew 2, and Sc Freiburg won 0.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–3 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 84%. Over 2.5 goals: 91%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Bayer Leverkusen Win32%
Draw20%
SC Freiburg Win48%
BTTS84%
Over 2.591%

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