Bayer Leverkusen vs Sc Freiburg
GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2
Bayer Leverkusen xG
Expected goals
3.4
SC Freiburg xG
84%
Both Teams to Score
91%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–3
6%
2–3
6%
1–2
5%
1–4
5%
2–2
5%
2–4
5%
Home
Bayer Leverkusen
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.0 / 2.6
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
SC Freiburg
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
2.4 / 1.7
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Bayer Leverkusen vs Sc Freiburg?
SC Freiburg is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Bayer Leverkusen's current form?
Bayer Leverkusen have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Bundesliga meetings, Bayer Leverkusen won 4, drew 2, and Sc Freiburg won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–3 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 84%. Over 2.5 goals: 91%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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