Match Analysis

Bayern MunichvsFC Cologne

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

68%
17%
15%
Bayern Munich winDrawFC Cologne win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.00
3.66Avg goals scored0.94
0.96Avg goals conceded1.28
1–4–0Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.6

Bayern Munich xG

Expected goals

1.2

FC Cologne xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

73%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

2–0

8%

3–1

8%

1–1

7%

3–0

7%

1–0

6%

Home

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

DDWDD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

3.7 / 1.0

Last 5

1W 4D 0L

Away

FC Cologne

FC Cologne

DDLWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Bayern Munich vs FC Cologne?

Bayern Munich is favored with a 68% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Bayern Munich's current form?

Bayern Munich have recorded 1W 4D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 7 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Bayern Munich Win68%
Draw17%
FC Cologne Win15%
BTTS65%
Over 2.573%