Bayern Munich vs Vfb Stuttgart
GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3.8
Bayern Munich xG
Expected goals
1.8
VfB Stuttgart xG
82%
Both Teams to Score
92%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–1
6%
4–1
6%
2–1
5%
3–2
5%
4–2
5%
2–2
4%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $914K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Bayern Munich
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
3.1 / 1.3
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
VfB Stuttgart
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
2.6 / 2.0
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Bayern Munich vs Vfb Stuttgart?
Bayern Munich is favored with a 76% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Bayern Munich's current form?
Bayern Munich have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.8.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Bundesliga meetings, Bayern Munich won 5, drew 0, and Vfb Stuttgart won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–1 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 82%. Over 2.5 goals: 92%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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