Borussia Dortmundvs
Bayer Leverkusen
GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.9
Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected goals
1.4
Bayer Leverkusen xG
64%
Both Teams to Score
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
10%
2–1
9%
1–0
7%
1–2
7%
2–0
7%
2–2
7%
Home
Borussia Dortmund
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.5 / 0.5
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Bayer Leverkusen
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.1 / 1.8
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Borussia Dortmund is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Borussia Dortmund's current form?
Borussia Dortmund have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 7 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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