Match Analysis

Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg Sv

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

48%
31%
21%
Borussia Dortmund winDrawHamburg SV win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game2.00
1.73Avg goals scored1.96
0.95Avg goals conceded1.34
2–0–3Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Borussia Dortmund xG

Expected goals

1

Hamburg SV xG

49%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

10

12%

11

12%

20

9%

21

9%

00

8%

01

8%

Home

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

LLWWL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Away

Hamburg SV

Hamburg SV

WDWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings

Borussia Dortmundall timeHamburg Sv
1W
1D
21 Mar 26
Borussia Dortmund32Hamburg SV
8 Nov 25
Hamburg SV11Borussia Dortmund

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg Sv?

Borussia Dortmund is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Borussia Dortmund's current form?

Borussia Dortmund have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 2 Bundesliga meetings, Borussia Dortmund won 1, drew 1, and Hamburg Sv won 0.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Borussia Dortmund Win48%
Draw31%
Hamburg SV Win21%
BTTS49%
Over 2.546%

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