Match Analysis

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

79%
18%
3%
Borussia Dortmund winDrawWerder Bremen win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game0.80
1.91Avg goals scored0.30
0.30Avg goals conceded1.96
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.3

Borussia Dortmund xG

Expected goals

0.3

Werder Bremen xG

23%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

20

20%

10

17%

30

15%

40

9%

00

7%

21

6%

Home

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

WLLWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.9 / 0.3

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen

WLLLD

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.3 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Borussia Dortmundall timeWerder Bremen
4W
2D
16 May 26
Werder Bremen02Borussia Dortmund
13 Jan 26
Borussia Dortmund30Werder Bremen
25 Jan 25
Borussia Dortmund22Werder Bremen
31 Aug 24
Werder Bremen00Borussia Dortmund
9 Mar 24
Werder Bremen12Borussia Dortmund
20 Oct 23
Borussia Dortmund10Werder Bremen

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?

Borussia Dortmund is favored with a 79% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Borussia Dortmund's current form?

Borussia Dortmund have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Bundesliga meetings, Borussia Dortmund won 4, drew 2, and Werder Bremen won 0.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (20% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 23%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Borussia Dortmund Win79%
Draw18%
Werder Bremen Win3%
BTTS23%
Over 2.548%

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