Match Analysis

Borussia DortmundvsWerder Bremen

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

51%
22%
27%
Borussia Dortmund winDrawWerder Bremen win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.40
1.47Avg goals scored2.24
0.54Avg goals conceded1.97
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)1–4–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Borussia Dortmund xG

Expected goals

1.4

Werder Bremen xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

2–1

9%

1–0

7%

1–2

7%

2–0

7%

2–2

7%

Home

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

DWDLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.5 / 0.5

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen

DDDWD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.2 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 4D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?

Borussia Dortmund is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Borussia Dortmund's current form?

Borussia Dortmund have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 7 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Borussia Dortmund Win51%
Draw22%
Werder Bremen Win27%
BTTS65%
Over 2.566%