Borussia Mönchengladbachvs
Borussia Dortmund
GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.4
Borussia Mönchengladbach xG
Expected goals
2.1
Borussia Dortmund xG
66%
Both Teams to Score
68%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
9%
1–2
9%
0–2
7%
1–3
7%
2–2
7%
0–1
6%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $37K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Borussia Mönchengladbach
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.7 / 2.8
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Borussia Dortmund
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.5 / 0.5
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund?
Borussia Dortmund is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Borussia Mönchengladbach's current form?
Borussia Mönchengladbach have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 66%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 7 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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