Match Analysis

Fc Augsburg vs 1 Fc Union Berlin

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

31%
16%
53%
FC Augsburg winDraw1. FC Union Berlin win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game2.20
1.88Avg goals scored3.02
2.12Avg goals conceded2.34
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.7

FC Augsburg xG

Expected goals

3.4

1. FC Union Berlin xG

90%

Both Teams to Score

94%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

22

5%

23

5%

24

5%

33

5%

12

4%

13

4%

Home

FC Augsburg

FC Augsburg

WLWWD

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.9 / 2.1

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

1. FC Union Berlin

1. FC Union Berlin

DWWWD

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

3.0 / 2.3

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fc Augsburg vs 1 Fc Union Berlin?

1. FC Union Berlin is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fc Augsburg's current form?

Fc Augsburg have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–2 (5% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 90%. Over 2.5 goals: 94%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

Pick a winner

Leaderboard →

Match Odds

FC Augsburg Win31%
Draw16%
1. FC Union Berlin Win53%
BTTS90%
Over 2.594%

Find prediction markets →

Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi