Match Analysis

FC Augsburgvs1. FC Union Berlin

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

59%
19%
22%
FC Augsburg winDraw1. FC Union Berlin win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game1.20
2.26Avg goals scored0.76
2.02Avg goals conceded2.03
0–3–2Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.4

FC Augsburg xG

Expected goals

1.4

1. FC Union Berlin xG

69%

Both Teams to Score

73%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

1–1

8%

3–1

7%

2–0

6%

2–2

6%

1–0

5%

Home

FC Augsburg

FC Augsburg

DDLDL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

2.3 / 2.0

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Away

1. FC Union Berlin

1. FC Union Berlin

DDDWL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.8 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win FC Augsburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin?

FC Augsburg is favored with a 59% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is FC Augsburg's current form?

FC Augsburg have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 7 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

FC Augsburg Win59%
Draw19%
1. FC Union Berlin Win22%
BTTS69%
Over 2.573%