Fc Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen
GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3
FC Augsburg xG
Expected goals
2.3
Bayer Leverkusen xG
85%
Both Teams to Score
90%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–2
6%
3–2
6%
2–1
5%
2–3
5%
3–1
5%
3–3
5%
Home
FC Augsburg
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.9 / 2.1
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Bayer Leverkusen
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.0 / 2.6
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Fc Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen?
FC Augsburg is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Fc Augsburg's current form?
Fc Augsburg have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Bundesliga meetings, Fc Augsburg won 2, drew 0, and Bayer Leverkusen won 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–2 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 85%. Over 2.5 goals: 90%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from Bundesliga