Match Analysis

Fc Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

49%
13%
38%
FC Augsburg winDrawBayer Leverkusen win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.40
1.88Avg goals scored1.96
2.12Avg goals conceded2.58
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3

FC Augsburg xG

Expected goals

2.3

Bayer Leverkusen xG

85%

Both Teams to Score

90%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

22

6%

32

6%

21

5%

23

5%

31

5%

33

5%

Home

FC Augsburg

FC Augsburg

WLWWD

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.9 / 2.1

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

LWDLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.0 / 2.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Fc Augsburgall timeBayer Leverkusen
2W
4W
18 Apr 26
Bayer Leverkusen12FC Augsburg
6 Dec 25
FC Augsburg20Bayer Leverkusen
26 Apr 25
Bayer Leverkusen20FC Augsburg
14 Dec 24
FC Augsburg02Bayer Leverkusen
18 May 24
Bayer Leverkusen21FC Augsburg
13 Jan 24
FC Augsburg01Bayer Leverkusen

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fc Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen?

FC Augsburg is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fc Augsburg's current form?

Fc Augsburg have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Bundesliga meetings, Fc Augsburg won 2, drew 0, and Bayer Leverkusen won 4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–2 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 85%. Over 2.5 goals: 90%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

FC Augsburg Win49%
Draw13%
Bayer Leverkusen Win38%
BTTS85%
Over 2.590%

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