Match Analysis

FC AugsburgvsMainz

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

46%
19%
35%
FC Augsburg winDrawMainz win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game1.40
2.26Avg goals scored2.24
2.02Avg goals conceded2.04
0–3–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.4

FC Augsburg xG

Expected goals

2.1

Mainz xG

80%

Both Teams to Score

83%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

1–1

6%

1–2

6%

3–2

6%

2–3

5%

Home

FC Augsburg

FC Augsburg

DDLDL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

2.3 / 2.0

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Away

Mainz

Mainz

DLWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.2 / 2.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win FC Augsburg vs Mainz?

FC Augsburg is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is FC Augsburg's current form?

FC Augsburg have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 80%. Over 2.5 goals: 83%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 7 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

FC Augsburg Win46%
Draw19%
Mainz Win35%
BTTS80%
Over 2.583%