Match Analysis

FC ColognevsBayer Leverkusen

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

38%
23%
39%
FC Cologne winDrawBayer Leverkusen win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.60
0.94Avg goals scored2.09
1.28Avg goals conceded1.84
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

FC Cologne xG

Expected goals

1.7

Bayer Leverkusen xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

1–0

6%

Home

FC Cologne

FC Cologne

DDLWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.1 / 1.8

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win FC Cologne vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Bayer Leverkusen is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is FC Cologne's current form?

FC Cologne have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 7 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

FC Cologne Win38%
Draw23%
Bayer Leverkusen Win39%
BTTS67%
Over 2.566%