Match Analysis

Fc Cologne vs Tsg Hoffenheim

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

31%
27%
42%
FC Cologne winDrawTSG Hoffenheim win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game2.00
1.29Avg goals scored1.22
3.45Avg goals conceded2.38
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

FC Cologne xG

Expected goals

2.3

TSG Hoffenheim xG

77%

Both Teams to Score

79%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

12

8%

11

7%

22

7%

13

6%

21

6%

23

5%

Home

FC Cologne

FC Cologne

WLLDL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.3 / 3.4

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

WLWDW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.2 / 2.4

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings

Fc Cologneall timeTsg Hoffenheim
1W
2D
1W
21 Feb 26
FC Cologne22TSG Hoffenheim
3 Oct 25
TSG Hoffenheim01FC Cologne
11 Feb 24
TSG Hoffenheim11FC Cologne
16 Sep 23
FC Cologne13TSG Hoffenheim

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fc Cologne vs Tsg Hoffenheim?

TSG Hoffenheim is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fc Cologne's current form?

Fc Cologne have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 4 Bundesliga meetings, Fc Cologne won 1, drew 2, and Tsg Hoffenheim won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 77%. Over 2.5 goals: 79%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

FC Cologne Win31%
Draw27%
TSG Hoffenheim Win42%
BTTS77%
Over 2.579%

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