Match Analysis

Hamburg SVvsBorussia Mönchengladbach

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

45%
21%
34%
Hamburg SV winDrawBorussia Mönchengladbach win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game0.80
0.96Avg goals scored1.67
1.90Avg goals conceded2.85
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Hamburg SV xG

Expected goals

1.8

Borussia Mönchengladbach xG

73%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

8%

2–1

8%

1–2

7%

2–2

7%

3–1

6%

3–2

5%

Home

Hamburg SV

Hamburg SV

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.9

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Borussia Mönchengladbach

DWLLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.7 / 2.8

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Hamburg SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

Hamburg SV is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Hamburg SV's current form?

Hamburg SV have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 73%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 7 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Hamburg SV Win45%
Draw21%
Borussia Mönchengladbach Win34%
BTTS73%
Over 2.575%