Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1
Hamburg SV xG
Expected goals
2.4
FC Cologne xG
57%
Both Teams to Score
66%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–2
10%
1–2
10%
0–1
8%
0–3
8%
1–1
8%
1–3
8%
Home
Hamburg SV
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
0.6 / 1.8
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
FC Cologne
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.5 / 2.5
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Hamburg Sv vs Fc Cologne?
FC Cologne is favored with a 65% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Hamburg Sv's current form?
Hamburg Sv have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 Bundesliga meetings, Hamburg Sv won 0, drew 1, and Fc Cologne won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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