Match Analysis

Hamburg Sv vs Fc Cologne

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

11%
24%
65%
Hamburg SV winDrawFC Cologne win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.40
0.63Avg goals scored2.46
1.79Avg goals conceded2.46
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Hamburg SV xG

Expected goals

2.4

FC Cologne xG

57%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

02

10%

12

10%

01

8%

03

8%

11

8%

13

8%

Home

Hamburg SV

Hamburg SV

LWDWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

0.6 / 1.8

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

FC Cologne

FC Cologne

WWLLD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.5 / 2.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings

Hamburg Svall timeFc Cologne
1D
1W
14 Mar 26
Hamburg SV11FC Cologne
2 Nov 25
FC Cologne41Hamburg SV

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Hamburg Sv vs Fc Cologne?

FC Cologne is favored with a 65% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Hamburg Sv's current form?

Hamburg Sv have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 2 Bundesliga meetings, Hamburg Sv won 0, drew 1, and Fc Cologne won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Hamburg SV Win11%
Draw24%
FC Cologne Win65%
BTTS57%
Over 2.566%

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