Match Analysis

Hamburg Sv vs Vfb Stuttgart

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

79%
7%
14%
Hamburg SV winDrawVfB Stuttgart win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.40
1.96Avg goals scored1.52
1.34Avg goals conceded4.03
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

4

Hamburg SV xG

Expected goals

1.1

VfB Stuttgart xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

88%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

30

7%

31

7%

40

7%

41

7%

51

6%

20

5%

Home

Hamburg SV

Hamburg SV

WDWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

LWLDW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 4.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings

Hamburg Svall timeVfb Stuttgart
1W
1W
12 Apr 26
VfB Stuttgart40Hamburg SV
30 Nov 25
Hamburg SV21VfB Stuttgart

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Hamburg Sv vs Vfb Stuttgart?

Hamburg SV is favored with a 79% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Hamburg Sv's current form?

Hamburg Sv have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 2 Bundesliga meetings, Hamburg Sv won 1, drew 0, and Vfb Stuttgart won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 88%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

Pick a winner

Leaderboard →

Match Odds

Hamburg SV Win79%
Draw7%
VfB Stuttgart Win14%
BTTS65%
Over 2.588%

Find prediction markets →

Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi