Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.4
Mainz xG
Expected goals
1.4
1. FC Union Berlin xG
69%
Both Teams to Score
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
9%
1–1
8%
3–1
7%
2–0
6%
2–2
6%
1–0
5%
Home
Mainz
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.2 / 2.0
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
1. FC Union Berlin
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
0.8 / 2.0
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Mainz vs 1. FC Union Berlin?
Mainz is favored with a 59% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Mainz's current form?
Mainz have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 7 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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