Mainz vs Eintracht Frankfurt
GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.5
Mainz xG
Expected goals
1.2
Eintracht Frankfurt xG
64%
Both Teams to Score
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
9%
2–0
8%
3–1
8%
1–1
7%
1–0
6%
2–2
6%
Home
Mainz
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.3
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Eintracht Frankfurt
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.7 / 2.3
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Mainz vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
Mainz is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Mainz's current form?
Mainz have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Bundesliga meetings, Mainz won 2, drew 2, and Eintracht Frankfurt won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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