Match Analysis

RB LeipzigvsBorussia Dortmund

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

44%
22%
34%
RB Leipzig winDrawBorussia Dortmund win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.60
3.00Avg goals scored1.47
1.70Avg goals conceded0.54
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

RB Leipzig xG

Expected goals

1.6

Borussia Dortmund xG

68%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

2–1

9%

1–2

7%

2–2

7%

1–0

6%

3–1

6%

Home

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

DWLLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

3.0 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

DWWDL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 0.5

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund?

RB Leipzig is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is RB Leipzig's current form?

RB Leipzig have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 7 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

RB Leipzig Win44%
Draw22%
Borussia Dortmund Win34%
BTTS68%
Over 2.568%