Match Analysis

Rb Leipzig vs Hamburg Sv

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

28%
10%
62%
RB Leipzig winDrawHamburg SV win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game2.00
1.33Avg goals scored1.96
3.01Avg goals conceded1.34
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

RB Leipzig xG

Expected goals

3.3

Hamburg SV xG

64%

Both Teams to Score

81%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

13

8%

02

7%

03

7%

12

7%

14

7%

04

6%

Home

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

WLWLW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.3 / 3.0

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Hamburg SV

Hamburg SV

WDWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings

Rb Leipzigall timeHamburg Sv
2W
1 Mar 26
Hamburg SV12RB Leipzig
18 Oct 25
RB Leipzig21Hamburg SV

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Rb Leipzig vs Hamburg Sv?

Hamburg SV is favored with a 62% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Rb Leipzig's current form?

Rb Leipzig have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 2 Bundesliga meetings, Rb Leipzig won 2, drew 0, and Hamburg Sv won 0.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–3 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

RB Leipzig Win28%
Draw10%
Hamburg SV Win62%
BTTS64%
Over 2.581%

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