Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.8
RB Leipzig xG
Expected goals
1.9
Mainz xG
80%
Both Teams to Score
85%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
7%
2–2
6%
3–1
6%
3–2
6%
1–1
5%
1–2
5%
Home
RB Leipzig
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
3.0 / 1.7
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Mainz
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.2 / 2.0
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win RB Leipzig vs Mainz?
RB Leipzig is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is RB Leipzig's current form?
RB Leipzig have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.8.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 80%. Over 2.5 goals: 85%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 7 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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