Match Analysis

SC Freiburgvs1. FC Union Berlin

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

59%
20%
21%
SC Freiburg winDraw1. FC Union Berlin win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.20
1.98Avg goals scored0.76
1.55Avg goals conceded2.03
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.3

SC Freiburg xG

Expected goals

1.3

1. FC Union Berlin xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

1–1

8%

2–0

7%

3–1

7%

1–0

6%

2–2

6%

Home

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

1. FC Union Berlin

1. FC Union Berlin

DDDWL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.8 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin?

SC Freiburg is favored with a 59% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is SC Freiburg's current form?

SC Freiburg have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 7 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

SC Freiburg Win59%
Draw20%
1. FC Union Berlin Win21%
BTTS65%
Over 2.570%