Match Analysis

SC FreiburgvsRB Leipzig

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

39%
20%
41%
SC Freiburg winDrawRB Leipzig win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.40
1.98Avg goals scored3.00
1.55Avg goals conceded1.70
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

SC Freiburg xG

Expected goals

2.2

RB Leipzig xG

78%

Both Teams to Score

80%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

7%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

1–1

6%

1–3

5%

2–3

5%

Home

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

DLLLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

DWLLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

3.0 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig?

RB Leipzig is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is SC Freiburg's current form?

SC Freiburg have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 78%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 7 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

SC Freiburg Win39%
Draw20%
RB Leipzig Win41%
BTTS78%
Over 2.580%