Match Analysis

SC FreiburgvsTSG Hoffenheim

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

46%
21%
33%
SC Freiburg winDrawTSG Hoffenheim win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.40
1.98Avg goals scored2.10
1.55Avg goals conceded1.73
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

SC Freiburg xG

Expected goals

1.8

TSG Hoffenheim xG

73%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

8%

2–1

8%

1–2

7%

2–2

7%

3–1

6%

3–2

5%

Home

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

DWWLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.1 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win SC Freiburg vs TSG Hoffenheim?

SC Freiburg is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is SC Freiburg's current form?

SC Freiburg have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 73%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 7 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

SC Freiburg Win46%
Draw21%
TSG Hoffenheim Win33%
BTTS73%
Over 2.575%