Sc Freiburg vs Werder Bremen
GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3
SC Freiburg xG
Expected goals
0.3
Werder Bremen xG
25%
Both Teams to Score
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
17%
3–0
17%
4–0
12%
1–0
11%
5–0
7%
2–1
5%
Home
SC Freiburg
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
2.4 / 1.7
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Away
Werder Bremen
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
0.3 / 2.0
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Sc Freiburg vs Werder Bremen?
SC Freiburg is favored with a 89% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Sc Freiburg's current form?
Sc Freiburg have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Bundesliga meetings, Sc Freiburg won 5, drew 0, and Werder Bremen won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (17% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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