Match Analysis

Sc Freiburg vs Werder Bremen

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

89%
6%
5%
SC Freiburg winDrawWerder Bremen win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game0.80
2.43Avg goals scored0.30
1.66Avg goals conceded1.96
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3

SC Freiburg xG

Expected goals

0.3

Werder Bremen xG

25%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

20

17%

30

17%

40

12%

10

11%

50

7%

21

5%

Home

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

WWWLW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

2.4 / 1.7

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen

WLLLD

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.3 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Sc Freiburgall timeWerder Bremen
5W
1W
7 Feb 26
SC Freiburg10Werder Bremen
20 Sep 25
Werder Bremen03SC Freiburg
21 Feb 25
SC Freiburg50Werder Bremen
5 Oct 24
Werder Bremen01SC Freiburg
27 Jan 24
Werder Bremen31SC Freiburg
26 Aug 23
SC Freiburg10Werder Bremen

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sc Freiburg vs Werder Bremen?

SC Freiburg is favored with a 89% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sc Freiburg's current form?

Sc Freiburg have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Bundesliga meetings, Sc Freiburg won 5, drew 0, and Werder Bremen won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (17% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

SC Freiburg Win89%
Draw6%
Werder Bremen Win5%
BTTS25%
Over 2.564%

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