Match Analysis

Sc Paderborn 07 vs Hamburg Sv

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

45%
21%
34%
SC Freiburg winDrawHamburg SV win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game2.00
2.43Avg goals scored1.96
1.66Avg goals conceded1.34
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

SC Freiburg xG

Expected goals

1.8

Hamburg SV xG

73%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

11

8%

21

8%

12

7%

22

7%

31

6%

32

5%

Home

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

WWWLW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

2.4 / 1.7

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

Hamburg SV

Hamburg SV

WDWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sc Paderborn 07 vs Hamburg Sv?

SC Freiburg is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sc Paderborn 07's current form?

Sc Paderborn 07 have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 73%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

Pick a winner

Leaderboard →

Match Odds

SC Freiburg Win45%
Draw21%
Hamburg SV Win34%
BTTS73%
Over 2.575%

Find prediction markets →

Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi