Match Analysis

Schalke 04vsBorussia Dortmund

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

29%
28%
43%
Schalke 04 winDrawBorussia Dortmund win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.60
0.49Avg goals scored1.47
0.91Avg goals conceded0.54
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Schalke 04 xG

Expected goals

1.3

Borussia Dortmund xG

46%

Both Teams to Score

40%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

13%

1–1

13%

0–0

10%

1–0

10%

0–2

8%

1–2

8%

Home

Schalke 04

Schalke 04

DLLDW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.5 / 0.9

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

DWWDL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 0.5

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Schalke 04 vs Borussia Dortmund?

Borussia Dortmund is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Schalke 04's current form?

Schalke 04 have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 7 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Schalke 04 Win29%
Draw28%
Borussia Dortmund Win43%
BTTS46%
Over 2.540%