Match Analysis

Schalke 04vsMainz

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

37%
24%
39%
Schalke 04 winDrawMainz win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.40
0.49Avg goals scored2.24
0.91Avg goals conceded2.04
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Schalke 04 xG

Expected goals

1.6

Mainz xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–2

9%

2–1

8%

0–1

7%

1–0

7%

0–2

6%

Home

Schalke 04

Schalke 04

DLLDW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.5 / 0.9

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Mainz

Mainz

DLWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.2 / 2.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Schalke 04 vs Mainz?

Mainz is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Schalke 04's current form?

Schalke 04 have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 7 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Schalke 04 Win37%
Draw24%
Mainz Win39%
BTTS62%
Over 2.560%