Match Analysis

Schalke 04 vs Mainz

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

35%
23%
42%
Schalke 04 winDrawMainz win

Key Stats

0.00Points per game1.80
0.00Avg goals scored1.66
0.00Avg goals conceded1.31
0–0–0Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Schalke 04 xG

Expected goals

1.7

Mainz xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

11

10%

12

9%

21

8%

01

7%

22

7%

02

6%

Home

Schalke 04

No data

Away

Mainz

Mainz

WWLWL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Schalke 04 vs Mainz?

Mainz is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Schalke 04 Win35%
Draw23%
Mainz Win42%
BTTS63%
Over 2.562%

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