Tsg Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen
GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.3
TSG Hoffenheim xG
Expected goals
2.5
Bayer Leverkusen xG
67%
Both Teams to Score
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
9%
1–3
8%
0–2
7%
1–1
7%
0–1
6%
0–3
6%
Home
TSG Hoffenheim
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.2 / 2.4
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Bayer Leverkusen
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.9 / 1.7
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Tsg Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Bayer Leverkusen is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Tsg Hoffenheim's current form?
Tsg Hoffenheim have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Bundesliga meetings, Tsg Hoffenheim won 2, drew 0, and Bayer Leverkusen won 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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