Match Analysis

TSG HoffenheimvsBayern Munich

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

27%
19%
54%
TSG Hoffenheim winDrawBayern Munich win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.40
2.10Avg goals scored3.66
1.73Avg goals conceded0.96
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–4–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

TSG Hoffenheim xG

Expected goals

2.5

Bayern Munich xG

77%

Both Teams to Score

80%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

8%

2–2

7%

1–1

6%

1–3

6%

2–3

6%

2–1

5%

Home

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

DWWLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.1 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

DDWDD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

3.7 / 1.0

Last 5

1W 4D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayern Munich?

Bayern Munich is favored with a 54% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is TSG Hoffenheim's current form?

TSG Hoffenheim have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 77%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 7 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

TSG Hoffenheim Win27%
Draw19%
Bayern Munich Win54%
BTTS77%
Over 2.580%