Match Analysis

Tsg Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

10%
11%
79%
TSG Hoffenheim winDrawBorussia Dortmund win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.80
1.75Avg goals scored1.91
2.80Avg goals conceded0.30
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.3

TSG Hoffenheim xG

Expected goals

2.9

Borussia Dortmund xG

24%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

02

17%

03

17%

01

12%

04

12%

05

7%

12

5%

Home

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

LWLWD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.8 / 2.8

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

WLLWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.9 / 0.3

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Tsg Hoffenheimall timeBorussia Dortmund
2W
1D
3W
18 Apr 26
TSG Hoffenheim21Borussia Dortmund
7 Dec 25
Borussia Dortmund20TSG Hoffenheim
26 Apr 25
TSG Hoffenheim23Borussia Dortmund
15 Dec 24
Borussia Dortmund11TSG Hoffenheim
25 Feb 24
Borussia Dortmund23TSG Hoffenheim
29 Sep 23
TSG Hoffenheim13Borussia Dortmund

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Tsg Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund?

Borussia Dortmund is favored with a 79% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Tsg Hoffenheim's current form?

Tsg Hoffenheim have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Bundesliga meetings, Tsg Hoffenheim won 2, drew 1, and Borussia Dortmund won 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (17% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 24%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

TSG Hoffenheim Win10%
Draw11%
Borussia Dortmund Win79%
BTTS24%
Over 2.562%

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