Match Analysis

Tsg Hoffenheim vs Hamburg Sv

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

30%
13%
57%
TSG Hoffenheim winDrawHamburg SV win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game2.00
1.22Avg goals scored1.96
2.38Avg goals conceded1.34
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

TSG Hoffenheim xG

Expected goals

2.6

Hamburg SV xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

02

9%

12

9%

03

8%

13

8%

01

7%

11

7%

Home

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

WLWDW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.2 / 2.4

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Hamburg SV

Hamburg SV

WDWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings

Tsg Hoffenheimall timeHamburg Sv
2W
25 Apr 26
Hamburg SV12TSG Hoffenheim
13 Dec 25
TSG Hoffenheim41Hamburg SV

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Tsg Hoffenheim vs Hamburg Sv?

Hamburg SV is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Tsg Hoffenheim's current form?

Tsg Hoffenheim have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 2 Bundesliga meetings, Tsg Hoffenheim won 2, drew 0, and Hamburg Sv won 0.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

TSG Hoffenheim Win30%
Draw13%
Hamburg SV Win57%
BTTS59%
Over 2.570%

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