Match Analysis

VfB Stuttgartvs1. FC Union Berlin

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

52%
22%
26%
VfB Stuttgart winDraw1. FC Union Berlin win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.20
1.36Avg goals scored0.76
1.71Avg goals conceded2.03
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

VfB Stuttgart xG

Expected goals

1.3

1. FC Union Berlin xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

10%

1–0

7%

2–0

7%

1–2

6%

2–2

6%

Home

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

DDLWW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

1. FC Union Berlin

1. FC Union Berlin

DDDWL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.8 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Union Berlin?

VfB Stuttgart is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is VfB Stuttgart's current form?

VfB Stuttgart have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 7 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

VfB Stuttgart Win52%
Draw22%
1. FC Union Berlin Win26%
BTTS63%
Over 2.564%