Match Analysis

Vfb Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

42%
21%
37%
VfB Stuttgart winDrawBorussia Dortmund win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.20
2.63Avg goals scored1.73
1.96Avg goals conceded0.95
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–0–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

VfB Stuttgart xG

Expected goals

1.9

Borussia Dortmund xG

68%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

11

9%

12

9%

21

7%

22

7%

01

6%

13

6%

Home

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

WLDWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.6 / 2.0

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

LLWWL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Vfb Stuttgartall timeBorussia Dortmund
4W
1D
1W
4 Apr 26
VfB Stuttgart02Borussia Dortmund
22 Nov 25
Borussia Dortmund33VfB Stuttgart
8 Feb 25
Borussia Dortmund12VfB Stuttgart
22 Sep 24
VfB Stuttgart51Borussia Dortmund
6 Apr 24
Borussia Dortmund01VfB Stuttgart
11 Nov 23
VfB Stuttgart21Borussia Dortmund

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Vfb Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund?

VfB Stuttgart is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Vfb Stuttgart's current form?

Vfb Stuttgart have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Bundesliga meetings, Vfb Stuttgart won 4, drew 1, and Borussia Dortmund won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

VfB Stuttgart Win42%
Draw21%
Borussia Dortmund Win37%
BTTS68%
Over 2.568%

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