Match Analysis

VfB StuttgartvsWerder Bremen

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

39%
21%
40%
VfB Stuttgart winDrawWerder Bremen win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.80
1.36Avg goals scored2.24
1.71Avg goals conceded1.97
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–3–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

VfB Stuttgart xG

Expected goals

1.9

Werder Bremen xG

72%

Both Teams to Score

73%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

8%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

2–2

7%

1–3

5%

2–3

5%

Home

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

DDLWW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen

DWDDW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.2 / 2.0

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?

Werder Bremen is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is VfB Stuttgart's current form?

VfB Stuttgart have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 72%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 7 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

VfB Stuttgart Win39%
Draw21%
Werder Bremen Win40%
BTTS72%
Over 2.573%